ZG

ZILLOW GROUP INC

Communication Services | Large Cap

$0.12

EPS Forecast

$710

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-08-29

Zillow Group Q2 2026 Earnings: An Adjusted EPS Bright Spot While GAAP Dips, Thanks to a Mortgage Engine

Ticker watch: Zillow Group, Inc. trades on NASDAQ under the tickers Z and ZG. In its second quarter for 2026, the company mixes a solid top-line beat with a gauntlet of non‑GAAP adjustments that push the headline numbers into the “earnings surprise” territory for investors focused on EPS — specifically the EPS on an adjusted basis versus a GAAP print. The company also factors its performance relative to a revenue forecast that sits in the shareholder letter rather than the press release.

Snapshot of the quarter

  • Revenue: $772 million, up 18% year over year.
  • GAAP net loss: $4 million; GAAP diluted EPS of -$0.02.
  • Adjusted net income: $118 million; Adjusted EPS of $0.52.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $176 million with a margin of 23%.
  • Cash & investments: $682 million at quarter end.
  • Share repurchases: 5.6 million shares repurchased in Q2.
  • Key components of revenue: Mortgages ($84 million), Rentals ($209 million), For Sale ($549 million), Residential ($465 million).
  • Outlook: The company directs readers to the shareholder letter for Q3 and full-year revenue forecasts; the press release itself highlights the quarterly performance and Medium-Term outlook rather than a full numerical guide.

The numbers, laid out

Zillow’s quarter reads like a ledger that rewards a diversified real estate tech platform. On the top line, the 18% YoY revenue gain reflects growth across the company’s multi‑stream model — more revenue from For Sale and Rentals, plus a stronger contribution from Mortgages. The For Sale line, at $549 million, is the big plank, with Residential revenue growing 7% to $465 million and Rentals up 31% to $209 million. Mortgages, while a smaller slice at $84 million, jumped 75% YoY, driven by higher origination activity inside a mortgage environment that remains sensitive to demand signals in housing.

The divergence between GAAP and non‑GAAP results is notable. GAAP diluted EPS came in at a negative $0.02, keeping the company in the red on a per‑share basis, while Adjusted EPS reached $0.52. In other words, the core operating performance looks better once you strip stock-based comp and other adjustments, a pattern not uncommon in growth‑heavy tech finance disclosures. The press release emphasizes the Adjusted EBITDA metric as a proxy for ongoing cash earnings, reporting $176 million and a 23% margin.

On liquidity and capital allocation, Zillow ends the quarter with $682 million in cash and investments, and the company repurchased 5.6 million shares in the quarter — a signal that management is prioritizing a tighter share count as it navigates the cash‑generating parts of the business and the non‑GAAP adjustments that drive EPS in the headlines.

What the results imply for Zillow and peers

The standout here is the Adjusted EPS of $0.52, which suggests the business is generating a healthier core operating trajectory than the GAAP numbers would imply. This matters for EPS consensus expectations around the company’s non‑GAAP profitability, and it gives investors a cleaner view of the cash‑generating engine behind Zillow’s real estate platform.

The mortgage segment’s sharp YoY improvement is telling. While total Mortgage revenue is a modest slice of the business now, a 75% jump indicates Zillow’s integrated approach to real estate — where a better housing cycle or a re‑acceleration in loan origination could compound across the platform. The Rentals line’s 31% rise points to continued demand in multifamily and rental services, a trend that tends to be steadier than volatile purchase‑driven revenue.

The company’s commentary positions Zillow as an “operating system for modern real estate,” a framing that suggests a longer‑horizon strategy: deepen monetization across the consumer journey, reduce friction in the transaction cycle, and extract incremental revenue from adjacent tools and services used by buyers, renters, and real estate professionals. In that sense, today’s numbers are less about a one‑quarter triumph and more about the platform’s resilience as housing cycles turn, or don’t turn, in a given direction.

For sector peers, the takeaway is twofold. First, a diversified revenue base appears to cushion the headwinds that come with real estate cycles, signaling that mix shift can matter as much as outright growth. Second, the emphasis on adjusted profitability metrics, including Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS, reinforces how investors are evaluating tech‑driven real estate platforms beyond GAAP noise.

Outlook and what to watch next

Management points readers to the shareholder letter for the Q3 and full-year revenue forecast, indicating that the official forward guidance remains in a detailed form outside the press release. In practical terms, investors will be watching for how the growth in For Sale and Rentals sustains into the back half of the year, how Mortgage originations trend as rates and housing demand evolve, and whether the adjusted profitability metrics hold up as the company cycles through cost controls, product investments, and potential further buybacks.

Implications for peers and the broader market

The quarterly vibe among real estate platforms with strong product diversification is that a robust scale in ancillary streams can offset some volatility in primary listings or mortgage cycles. If Zillow’s adjusted profitability holds, peers with similar mix strategies may be emboldened to push deeper into adjacent services—agent software, financing tools, and data‑driven consumer experiences—without over‑relying on any single revenue lever.

Bottom line

Zillow Group’s Q2 2026 results deliver a nuanced narrative: a solid revenue beat across multiple lines, a meaningful adjusted earnings contribution, and a disciplined use of buybacks and cash reserves. The GAAP print remains a reminder that accounting rules versus operating reality can diverge, a familiar tension for high‑growth tech in real estate. For investors tracking EPS, EPS consensus, and the evolving revenue forecast, the core message is clear: Zillow’s platform continues to monetize the housing cycle more effectively through its diversified revenue streams, while the road ahead now hinges on the pace of mortgage origination recovery and the durability of demand in For Sale and Rentals.

Source: Zillow Group, Inc. press release and shareholder letter for Q2 2026 results. For investor relations inquiries, the company lists ir@zillowgroup.com; press inquiries go through press@zillow.com.