RJF

RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC

Financial Services | Large Cap

$2.98

EPS Forecast

$3,762

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-20

Raymond James Financial’s Fiscal Q2 2026: Growth in the Quiet Corner of Wealth Management

RJF ticker RJF — in a quarter of steady gains amid market uncertainty, the firm posted solid EPS figures and meaningful asset growth, with AI-enabled shifts nudging efficiency higher. Early indicators for earnings surprise and EPS consensus will hinge on how analysts model adjusted items and the tempo of client activity. No explicit revenue forecast is provided in the release, but the headline numbers still paint an instructive picture for the sector.

Overview: A solid, resilience-focused quarter

Raymond James Financial, Inc. (NYSE: RJF) reported fiscal second quarter 2026 net revenues of $3.86 billion and net income of $542 million. On a diluted basis, EPS stood at $2.72, while quarterly adjusted EPS reached $2.83, excluding $22 million of acquisition-related expenses. In other words, the GAAP line and the adjusted line diverge by a modest amount, a pattern investors often treat as a test of the quality of the underlying business versus one-time items. The company also flagged an adjusted figure that, by itself, suggests a degree of operating discipline masking the impact of acquisition-related costs.

For context, the firm highlighted a set of asset-centric metrics that matter deeply to wealth and asset-management franchises: record assets under administration, a robust fee-based base, and continued growth in private client segments. The tone emphasizes that, even with market headwinds, the business is expanding its client-facing revenue rails and improving leverage on technology investments.

Assets and client metrics: client assets, inflows, and the PCG engine

The press release notes client assets under administration of about $1.76 trillion, up meaningfully versus the prior year while showing a slight retreat versus the December 2025 level. Notably, the Domestic Private Client Group (PCG) generated net new assets of roughly $23.0 billion in the quarter, translating to an annualized growth rate of approximately 5.8% for the quarter. These numbers underpin continued revenue momentum from advisory and asset-management channels even as equity markets oscillate.

The company also reported a large, durable base of assets in fee-based accounts—record quarter-end PCG assets in this category stood at about $1.04 trillion, up roughly 20% versus March 2025 and modestly higher than December 2025. The asset mix—between administration and fee-based custody—remains a core source of recurring revenue and stable fee streams, a theme that resonates with investors seeking earnings visibility in a volatile macro backdrop.

Balance sheet and credit metrics: loans and liquidity in a cautious environment

On the lending side, net bank loans totaled about $54.8 billion, with securities-based loans running around $23.0 billion. The credit line shows a mix of growth and risk management that aligns with a more conservative stance in times of market fluctuation, yet the numbers imply continued appetite for client financing products within Raymond James’ ecosystem. The combination of loan growth and asset-based financing helps support both revenue and risk-adjusted returns in the PCG and private client channels.

From a profitability lens, the firm highlighted annualized return on common equity of 17.3% and annualized adjusted return on tangible common equity of 20.9% for the fiscal second quarter. Those return metrics suggest that the business is generating meaningful value from its equity capital, even while keeping an eye on the efficiency and capital-light opportunities that AI-enhanced platforms can unlock.

Management view: technology, talent, and the path forward

From the top, Raymond James Chief Executive Officer Paul Shoukry framed the results as a function of continued focus, disciplined execution, and a steady hand in technology adoption. The release quotes Shoukry highlighting ongoing technology investments and expanding AI integration to improve efficiency and free advisors to serve clients more effectively. He also notes robust activity in financial-advisor recruiting and a strong investment banking pipeline, signaling that the company sees momentum not just in assets but in human capital and deal flow as levers of future growth.

“We generated record results for the first half of the fiscal year by leveraging the firm’s expertise and resources to support advisors and their clients during this period of market uncertainty,” Shoukry said. “We are continuing to develop industry-leading technology solutions, including increasing AI integration, to improve efficiency and give our financial professionals more time to serve clients.”

Earnings context: how the numbers fit into the broader earnings puzzle

The quarter’s headlines—GAAP EPS of $2.72 and adjusted EPS of $2.83—line up with a growth trajectory that appears sustainable through a firming but uncertain macro environment. The absence of a formal revenue forecast in the release means investors will lean on quarterly cadence, asset growth, and margin discipline to gauge longer-term performance. Analysts will compare these numbers to their expected EPS consensus and any forthcoming guidance to determine whether this quarter constitutes a continued climb or a plateau in client activity and fee-based revenue productivity. There was no explicit earnings surprise disclosed in the release, so any assessment of surprise will rest on how future consensus estimates adjust to the posted figures and adjusted metrics.

Implications for RJF and sector peers

Raymond James’s quarter-under-review reinforces a narrative in wealth management and brokerage-adjacent businesses: client assets, recurring revenue streams, and the leverage of advisory networks can sustain, and even improve, earnings quality when market volatility bites. The combination of stable net revenues and robust asset levels—especially the record fee-based PCG base—suggests that RJF is well-positioned to weather episodes of market stress better than some more cyclically exposed peers.

For sector peers, the message is twofold. First, AI-enabled efficiency gains and tech-enabled client experience investments appear to be delivering tangible margin-supportive effects without sacrificing revenue growth. Second, assets under administration and fee-based assets remain critical anchors of recurring revenue, which is the kind of durability that investors reward when equities trade with noise but earnings stay steady.

Analysts will likely parse the sustainability of net new asset growth and the pace of AI-powered productivity gains in PCG and across the enterprise. If the trend of rising fee-based assets, steady asset under administration, and a resilient private client franchise continues, RJF could set a template for mid-sized, U.S.-focused wealth managers navigating a market environment that prizes efficiency, risk-adjusted returns, and client-centric growth.

What to watch next

  • EPS trajectory: Watch how GAAP vs. adjusted EPS tracks against EPS consensus revisions and any forthcoming guidance.
  • Asset-growth durability: The 5.8% quarterly annualized net new asset growth in PCG is meaningful; track whether this momentum sustains as markets and client flows evolve.
  • AI and productivity: The degree to which AI integration translates into meaningful expense leverage and faster client service will be a differentiator.
  • Sector benchmarking: How RJF’s ROE and adjusted ROE compare to peers and to the broader wealth-management peer group in similar risk environments.
  • Revenue visibility: With no explicit near-term revenue forecast, investors will seek cadence in quarterly disclosures and any future guidance that bridges the gap between current results and longer-term expectations.

Source: Raymond James Financial, Inc. press release, April 22, 2026. Fiscal second quarter 2026 results include GAAP EPS of $2.72 and adjusted EPS of $2.83; net revenues of $3.86 billion; net income of $542 million. See accompanying notes for details on acquisition-related expenses and usage of non-GAAP metrics.