RELY

REMITLY GLOBAL INC

Technology | Mid Cap

$0.16

EPS Forecast

$446.3

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-08-29

Remitly RELY Beats the Math, Not the Gossip: A Record Quarter with AI-Lifted Outlook

Ticker: RELY. In a quarter that reads like a textbook example of growth paired with operating leverage, Remitly Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: RELY) delivered a second quarter marked by record revenue and a net income that benefits from a $140.6 million discrete tax advantage. The press release also outlines a robust revenue forecast for 2026 and a Q3 guide that keeps the momentum intact, all while pointing to AI-driven operating efficiencies as a primary engine of margin expansion.

Executive snapshot

Remitly reports a U.S.-listed growth engine with active customers surpassing 10 million for the first time, underscoring scale in cross-border payments. Revenue comes in at $495.2 million for the quarter, and net income lands at $205.9 million—bolstered by the aforementioned one-off tax benefit. Adjusted EBITDA clocks in at $114.7 million, up 79% year over year, signaling not just top-line strength but improving operating efficiency.

What the numbers really say

  • Revenue and growth: Revenue of $495.2 million, with year-over-year growth around 20% in the quarter.
  • Profitability: Net income of $205.9 million, inclusive of a $140.6 million discrete tax benefit from the U.S. valuation allowance release; Adjusted EBITDA of $114.7 million, up 79% YoY.
  • Customer momentum: Active customers at 10.2 million, up meaningfully from 8.5 million a year earlier.
  • One-time items: The tax benefit is highlighted as discrete and non-operational; the company provides GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation in the accompanying tables.
  • Non-GAAP framing: A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is provided, with a note explaining why certain items are excluded from forecasted figures due to volatility and limited visibility of adjusting items.

Outlook and revenue forecast

For fiscal year 2026, Remitly guides revenue in the range of $1.978 billion to $1.988 billion, representing a 21% to 22% year-over-year lift. The company also targets net income and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $410 million to $415 million, signaling continued margin expansion alongside growth.

For the third quarter of 2026, Remitly expects revenue between $505 million and $507 million, a growth rate of roughly 20% to 21% year over year. Net income and Adjusted EBITDA are likewise guided within a defined band, reinforcing management’s view that the operating model can sustain profitability alongside top-line expansion.

A word from the helm

“We delivered another excellent quarter, achieving record revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and net income, while surpassing 10 million quarterly active customers for the first time in our company's history, a direct reflection of the trust and confidence customers place in Remitly,” said Sebastian Gunningham, Chief Executive Officer. “Our results reflect the compounding advantages of a trusted global network, a strategy that resonates with customers, and rigorous cost discipline. AI-driven operating efficiencies are creating additional capacity to invest in growth while improving margins, giving us more confidence in the opportunities ahead.”

What this portends for RELY and peers

The headline numbers—record revenue, income on a GAAP basis plus a sizable non-recurring tax benefit, and an EBITDA that’s accelerating—create a compelling narrative about scale in Remitly’s niche: cross-border remittance with a tech-forward spine. The AI-driven operating efficiencies line is particularly salient. If the cost discipline translates into sustainable margin gains, the company could stand out in a sector where the economics of growth and profitability are often at cross purposes.

For sector peers, the message is twofold. First, a growth cadence supported by a broadening customer base can coexist with improving unit economics if discretionary costs are held in check and automation yields meaningful savings. Second, visibility into non-GAAP metrics—while helpful—depends on the transparency of reconciling disclosures. Investors will likely scrutinize how much of the outlook is structural versus one-off, especially given the tax-advantaged windfall in this quarter.

In terms of earnings discourse, the company’s commentary on EPS and GAAP vs. non-GAAP framing matters. The release emphasizes net income and EBITDA, but the broader market will naturally consider EPS and a credible EPS consensus path if the company begins to provide quarterly EPS figures or reconciled per-share metrics. In other words, the path to a recognized earnings surprise or a stable EPS trajectory will hinge on the continued blend of revenue growth and cost discipline, plus the degree to which one-off tax effects cleanly separate from ongoing profitability.

Non-GAAP reconciliation and forward-looking caution

Remitly’s release reiterates that a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures is included in the financial statement tables. Management notes that it cannot, without unreasonable effort, provide a quantitative reconciliation of forecasted Adjusted EBITDA to forecasted GAAP net income or GAAP income before taxes due to the variability and limited visibility of certain adjusting items such as taxes and stock-based compensation. This caveat is a familiar refrain in fast-growing tech-enabled financial services, and it will shape how investors interpret the ongoing profitability track versus headline growth.

Bottom line

Remitly’s Q2 2026 results underscore a company that has both scale and a margin-friendly growth mindset. The combination of rising active customers, a robust revenue base, and AI-driven efficiency improvements has the look of a thesis that could extend beyond the quarter into the remainder of 2026 and into the next cycle of sector peers. The key risk remains the sustainability of the non-operational tax benefit and how much the outlook relies on structural improvements versus one-off items. Still, for now, RELY is writing a fairly clean line in the sand: growth with improving profitability, and a reminder that in the realm of cross-border payments, the numbers aren’t just about dollars moved—they’re about dollars retained.

Pun aside, Remitly’s trajectory suggests the sector may be headed toward more disciplined growth storytelling where operational leverage catches up with top-line velocity. If the company can maintain its AI-enabled efficiency trajectory while delivering on its revenue forecast, RELY could become a proxy for the broader market’s shift toward profitable growth.