HOOD

ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC

Financial Services | Large Cap

$0.60

EPS Forecast

$1,280

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-10-29
Robinhood Q3 2026 Earnings: A Revenue-Rich Quarter for HOOD, But EPS Faces Gravity

Robinhood Q3 2026 Earnings: A Revenue-Rich Quarter for HOOD, but EPS Faces Gravity

Ticker: HOOD • EPS updates • EPS consensus in focus • Revenue forecast chatter ahead

Executive snapshot

  • Net revenue: $1.42 billion, up 12% year over year (YoY).
  • GAAP EPS: $0.51; Adjusted EPS: $0.60. Both print softer than prior-year baselines, even as revenue climbs.
  • Net deposits and user metrics: about $16 billion in deposits; Robinhood Gold subscribers around 5.2 million.
  • Business mix: 14 business lines with more than $100 million in annualized revenue.

What the numbers are actually saying

The quarter’s headline is a familiar one for growth-focused fintechs: top-line momentum persists, but the bottom-line geometry doesn’t always keep pace. Robinhood reports a single-figure jump in net revenue driven by a broad mix of product lines, while per-share profitability remains under pressure versus the prior period. It’s the classic tale of “growth in dollars” versus “earnings per share” pressure in a market where investors still want to know how much of the pie actually reaches the shareholder plate via EPS.

Breaking out the composition helps illuminate the trend. Transaction-based revenues rose 19% YoY to $867 million, underscoring a still-healthy activity base even as crypto cycles swing. Within that, event-contracts revenue surged—highlighting a few marquee, one-off or temporary revenue accelerants that can distort the trajectory if you tilt your head at the wrong angle. Options revenue climbed about 31% to a solid $399 million, while equities revenue grew roughly 41% to $121 million. Crypto revenues, however, declined roughly 55% to $120 million, a reminder that digital asset trading remains a high-volatility, high-variance component of Robinhood’s portfolio.

Net interest revenues fell 9% YoY to $415 million, driven by softer securities lending activity and lower short-term rates—offset modestly by growth in interest-earning assets. Other revenues jumped about 61% to $142 million. Taken together, the mix signals management’s ongoing push to diversify beyond pure crypto and "payments for order flow"-ish lines into a broader platform revenue engine, even if the pace of that diversification has its own cadence and risks.

Earnings per share and the earnings surprise frame

The company presents both GAAP EPS and Adjusted EPS, with GAAP at $0.51 and Adjusted at $0.60. In the current earnings storytelling, investors will juxtapose these numbers with the EPS consensus for the quarter and gauge whether there was an earnings surprise or a miss. The release does not spell out a forward-looking revenue forecast, so near-term expectations hinge on management commentary and the trajectory of the crypto cycle, interest-rate backdrop, and the performance of the non-crypto product lines.

From a headline-grabbing perspective, the uneven EPS path—moderate GAAP EPS, higher Adjusted EPS versus a prior-period baseline, yet with a clear drag from crypto—will invite analysts to recalibrate expectations for the next quarter. The narrative suggests that Robinhood remains a diversified broker with multiple revenue levers, but the EPS risk remains tied to the swing factors of crypto demand and interest-rate environment. In other words, the EPS consensus and any potential earnings surprise will likely be crowded around crypto revenue stability, transaction velocity, and the net interest yield on assets.

What this portends for HOOD and its sector peers

Robinhood’s quarterly cadence amplifies an ongoing theme for fintechs: a diversified revenue base helps weather cyclicality, but the dispersion across product lines can mask volatility in any single line. The 12% revenue growth is impressive in isolation, but the crypto headwind underscores the vulnerability of revenue to external price cycles and policy shifts. The bullish takeaway is the breadth of the platform—14 lines above the $100 million threshold signals a more resilient, multi-product model that could dampen the impact of any one market move.

For HOOD’s sector peers, several implications emerge. First, investors will likely prize quarterly stability in non-crypto streams, paired with clear visibility on growth in transaction-based and interest-earning segments. Second, the crypto swing remains a gating factor—any sustained improvement there could elevate ROIC and EPS more broadly. Third, the absence (or vagueness) of a stated revenue forecast pushes the stock toward guidance-driven moves in future prints, with investors parsing the company’s path to maintaining rates of growth amid a potentially tighter macro backdrop. Finally, the shift toward a more diversified revenue mix could invite comparisons with other large digital brokers that cherry-pick specific high-margin lines while attempting to grow consumer wallet share.

In the broader market, peers will watch for cadence in deposits growth, the sustainability of Gold subscriber momentum, and the degree to which the company can monetize the balance sheet without sacrificing risk controls. The velocity of accretion in non-crypto businesses may prove more durable than headline crypto revivals, and that dynamic could re-rate the sector on a longer horizon basis if investors gain confidence in a more predictable earnings cadence.

From the horses’ mouths

“Our vision is to make everyone an owner, because broad ownership is essential to a free, stable, and prosperous society.”

Vlad Tenev, Chairman and CEO of Robinhood

“Customers are trusting us with more of their assets as we deliver on our product roadmap, leading to our highest quarter ever for revenues.”

Shiv Verma, Chief Financial Officer of Robinhood

The leadership team anchors the narrative around growth by expanding the platform’s reach, even while front-line numbers remind us that the earnings story is still a function of how the firm prices, processes, and protects a multi-asset, multi-product ecosystem.

A caveat on the document’s tone

The press release contains some lines that read like a broader corporate-messaging exercise rather than a straight earnings deck. While the core financials and the projected impact of the revenue mix are the anchor of this report, readers should filter out stray context that doesn’t map cleanly onto the business fundamentals. In other words, read the numbers first, and treat the rest as a narrative garnish rather than a forecast device.

Bottom line

Robinhood’s Q3 2026 results reinforce a familiar pattern: the platform’s breadth is expanding, enabling more resilient revenue streams even as a volatile crypto backdrop tempers earnings per share. For HOOD and its peers, the takeaways areTwofold: maintain momentum in the core, non-crypto businesses and keep a vigilant eye on crypto economics and net interest dynamics. If the company can convert healthy top-line velocity into a steadier EPS trajectory—perhaps by wrapping more predictable, recurring revenue around the transaction engine—investors could assign a higher multiple to a platform that looks more like a diversified fintech ecosystem than a single-product play.

Key metrics to watch next quarter will include the evolution of the EPS trajectory relative to the EPS consensus, the movement in the revenue forecast for non-crypto lines, and the pace at which the platform can sustain deposits growth alongside a broadened revenue mix. The stock ticker HOOD will continue to be the shorthand by which investors measure momentum, but the real question is whether the earnings story can outpace the headline velocity of a platform expanding into new product lines—without letting any one line steal the spotlight from the rest.

Disclaimer: This summary reflects the disclosed financials and accompanying statements. Figures are in U.S. dollars unless noted. For investors, the next quarterly call will be the definitive moment to gauge the EPS trajectory against the market’s expectations and the company’s own revenue forecast ambitions.