FICO

FAIR ISAAC CORP

Technology | Large Cap

$9.52

EPS Forecast

$656.1

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

FICO’s Q3 2026: Higher Scores, Higher Expectations as Guidance Rises

Ticker: FICO. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the company delivered an EPS story that isn’t just about the headline $10.45 per share on a GAAP basis or $12.18 on a Non-GAAP basis. Revenue grew meaningfully, and management lifted the revenue forecast for the year to $2.53 billion, signaling a confidence pivot from “can we grow?” to “let’s grow more.”

Snapshot of the Quarter

  • Ticker: FICO
  • GAAP EPS: $10.45; Net income: $237.2 million for the quarter
  • Non-GAAP EPS: $12.18; Non-GAAP net income: $276.6 million
  • Revenue (GAAP): $674.2 million; YoY change: up 26%
  • Operating cash flow: $380.4 million
  • Free cash flow (non-GAAP): $370.3 million

The Quarter in Numbers

The results sit comfortably in the category of “you’re doing well enough to raise your forecast and still pull off a non-GAAP reconciliation without making the accountants suffocate.”

On the GAAP line, net income and earnings per share rose versus the prior year, while cash generation came in stronger, underscoring solid operating performance. The company also highlighted a robust Non-GAAP print, with EPS of $12.18 and free cash flow of $370.3 million, suggesting the core earnings engine is operating with healthier cash conversion.

The revenue mix shows a story of diversification within FICO’s software and analytics toolkit. Scores revenues totaled $458.9 million in the quarter, with B2B scoring solutions driving a large portion of growth (up 49% versus a year ago) and B2C scores growing about 5%. Software revenues were $215.3 million, up 2% year over year. The software line remains the anchor for ARR dynamics.

Segment Spotlight: Scores and Software

The Scores segment continues to be the larger revenue contributor, benefiting from higher mortgage origination scores and related pricing shifts that lifted B2B revenue materially. Software, while smaller, posted a meaningful ARR story: total software ARR was up 10% year over year, with a notable split—platform ARR up 62% while non-platform ARR declined 17%. The Net Dollar-Based Revenue Retention (DBNRR) for software tracked at 109% overall, with platform software at 148% and non-platform software at 82%.

The contrast between platform and non-platform performance offers a signal about how much the company depends on a scalable, bundled software stack versus legacy or consumer-facing components. If the platform-led growth sustains, the company’s margin and cash-flow profile could improve further as ARR compounds and retention remains strong.

Outlook and Guidance

The company is actively updating its previously provided guidance for fiscal 2026, signaling a constructive stance toward the rest of the year. The revenue outlook moved to approximately $2.53 billion from the prior $2.45 billion, a subtle but meaningful elevation that implies management expects stronger top-line momentum to carry into the back half of the year.

While the press materials excerpt here cut off before the full GAAP net income targets for the updated guidance, the explicit note of raising the full-year forecast accompanies the quarterly cadence and mirrors a market-friendly tilt: higher revenue forecast, continued progression in software ARR, and a positive tilt on cash generation.

In markets that obsessively parse EPS consensus, that raised guidance tends to fold into expectations math as an earnings surprise if consensus had been calibrated lower. The reported GAAP EPS of $10.45 and Non-GAAP EPS of $12.18 provide clear anchors for investors to compare with estimates as the quarter is priced in the coming weeks.

Implications for FICO and Sector Peers

FICO’s Q3 print reinforces a broader theme in analytics software: customers are spending on risk, pricing, and decisioning tools that enable better throughput in B2B operations and better monetization of data assets. The jump in platform ARR suggests enterprise buyers are investing in scalable, recurring software that promises durable revenue streams and higher retention.

For peers in the analytics and decisioning space, the takeaway is twofold: first, a continued push toward platform-centric models can lift ARR growth and DBNRR; second, a diversified mix—strong Scores with expanding Software—can cushion revenue from macro headwinds that might hit one line item but leave another intact.

If the trend sustains, lenders and investors will watch for how the company converts higher ARR and improved operating cash flow into longer-term margin expansion. The next several quarters will reveal whether this is a one-off acceleration or a durable re-acceleration in the company’s earnings power.

Bottom Line

FICO’s Q3 2026 results deliver a compelling mix: solid GAAP and non-GAAP earnings, robust cash generation, and a refreshed revenue forecast that points to ongoing momentum in both the Scores and Software franchises. The earnings landscape now includes a higher revenue forecast and a set of ARR metrics that suggest the company is leaning into the software-driven growth narrative that investors often reward with higher multiple support.

For readers tracking earnings surprises and EPS headlines, the quarter’s numbers will spark comparisons to EPS consensus estimates as analysts digest the mix of GAAP vs non-GAAP performance and how the raised outlook translates into the rest of the fiscal year.

Note: All figures are as reported for the third fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026, unless otherwise noted. This article provides analysis based on the disclosed numbers and guidance; actual results may differ due to market conditions, accounting choices, and integration of updated guidance.