BLZE

BACKBLAZE INC

Technology | Micro Cap

-$0.11

EPS Forecast

$37.97

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-08-29

Backblaze (BLZE) Hits a High‑End Nudge: Q2 2026 Signals AI Storage Momentum With Leaner Losses

In a quarter where the market has GPUs and gigabytes in the same sentence, Backblaze reports Q2 2026 results that mix sturdy B2 Cloud Storage growth with a narrowing net loss, all while teeing up a strategic windfall from a big AI‑infrastructure deal. EPS watchers will note the GAAP date stamped loss per share, but non‑GAAP EPS prints a respectable positive, and revenue management appears to be steering toward a cash‑positive shoreline someday soon.

Quarter in numbers

Backblaze, Inc. (Nasdaq: BLZE) announced results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Revenue came in at $42.7 million, up 18% year over year. Within that, B2 Cloud Storage revenue rose 34% YoY to $26.6 million, while Computer Backup revenue dipped 2% to $16.1 million. The company reported gross profit of $26.8 million, representing 63% of revenue, on par with the prior year’s gross margin percentage, while adjusted gross profit reached $34.3 million, or 80% of revenue.

Net loss was $5.1 million, or $0.08 per share, versus a net loss of $7.1 million in Q2 2025. Non‑GAAP net income totaled $5.0 million, or $0.08 per share, up from $0.8 million in the prior-year period. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $12.8 million, or 30% of revenue, compared with $6.6 million, or 18% of revenue, in Q2 2025.

Cash flow dynamics improved: operating cash flow for the first six months of 2026 was $13.8 million, versus $8.5 million for the same period in 2025. Adjusted free cash flow for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $1.4 million, reversing a $6.0 million negative result in the prior year. On the balance sheet, cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $49.9 million as of June 30, 2026.

Management highlighted a marquee development: a $335 million strategic agreement with CoreWeave intended to bolster AI workloads with scalable storage and performance. The company framed this as validation of its role in the AI infrastructure stack and a lever for long‑term revenue growth.

CEO commentary reiterated the quarter as a strong step forward, noting that B2 growth accelerated to 34% YoY and that the company exceeded the high end of its revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance—a so‑called earnings surprise on the high side, even as GAAP metrics show a loss per share for the period.

In short, the quarter told a story of growth in the core B2 cloud storage business, cost discipline that is translating into cash flow improvements, and a strategic bet on AI scale that could redefine Backblaze’s trajectory if momentum is sustained.

What the numbers imply for BLZE and its peers

The split between the two main revenue lines is telling. B2 Cloud Storage now accounts for roughly two‑thirds of revenue and is driving the YoY acceleration in top‑line growth, while traditional Computer Backup remains a smaller, cyclical contributor that looks more sensitive to price and customer mix. The margin story is equally nuanced: gross margins hold steady at 63%, and when you add back costs through Adjusted EBITDA, the company sits at a 30% margin on revenue. The non‑GAAP view shows a real improvement in profitability, even as GAAP paints the broader picture of ongoing losses at the per‑share level.

From an investor perspective, the headline EPS line is a negative under GAAP but a positive on a non‑GAAP basis. The distinction matters because the cash flow and EBITDA bridge the gap toward sustainable profitability, not just a quarterly flourish. The reported free cash flow swing—from a negative six‑month period in 2025 to a modest positive in 2026—along with a near‑$50 million liquidity position, suggests the company is building a runway for larger, strategic initiatives without first needing a unicorn‑sized revenue ramp.

On the strategic front, the CoreWeave agreement stands out as a potential catalyst. If AI workloads demand exabyte‑scale storage with tight economics, a trusted provider with efficient, scalable storage becomes a ticket to bigger projects and longer contracts. Translation for sector peers: the AI storage stack matters more than ever, and the future winners may be those who blend product scale with backing partnerships that de‑risk long‑term commitments.

Analytically, the key talking point becomes the revenue forecast and the ability to convert growth in B2 Cloud Storage into durable cash flow. If BLZE can sustain mid‑to‑high‑single‑digit top‑line expansion in the near term, while expanding gross margins and maintaining a credible non‑GAAP profit path, we might be watching a pivot from “growth at all costs” to “growth with discipline.”

In the broader AI infrastructure ecosystem, Backblaze’s results are a reminder that a credible storage backbone—not just compute or models—remains a critical bottleneck. As AI adoption expands across industries, the demand for reliable, cost‑effective storage is less a story of hype and more a story of architecture: the way data moves, stores, and scales without breaking the bank.

Outlook, risks, and what to watch

Management signaled that the quarter’s performance surpassed the high end of revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance, which supports a narrative of earnings surprise to the favorable side. The next questions are whether the CoreWeave deal translates into meaningful revenue recognition over time and whether the B2 Cloud Storage growth rate can be sustained as the company latches onto AI workloads beyond pilot projects.

Risks to watch include macro softness narrowing enterprise IT budgets, potential competitive pressure in cloud storage pricing, and the ability to convert non‑GAAP improvements into GAAP profitability and positive free cash flow on a sustainable basis. Yet the company’s cash position and six‑month cash flow improvement argue for a measured optimism that BLZE can evolve from a growth story into a more resilient, cash‑generative business over the next few quarters.

For peers in the sector, the message is less about one quarter’s results and more about the architecture of AI storage ecosystems. A credible path to scalable, cost‑efficient storage that underpins AI workloads could realign deal flows and pricing power across the industry, especially for vendors that can combine product breadth with strategic partnerships that look more like commitments than one‑off sales.

Bottom line

Backblaze’s Q2 2026 results sketch a company navigating the early innings of AI‑driven demand. Revenue growth is robust, gross margins are intact, and a strategic alliance with CoreWeave hints at a larger role in the AI storage stack. The divergence between GAAP and non‑GAAP results will likely persist in the near term, but the controlled cash burn and improving operational metrics tilt the balance toward a more constructive view of BLZE’s longer‑term trajectory. In the broader market, this is a reminder that the real action in AI infrastructure sits in reliable storage as much as in clever models—and the stock market may respond accordingly to a story that’s less about hype and more about scalable, repeatable infrastructure wins.

Ticker, EPS, EPS consensus, and revenue forecast all play their parts, but the real plot twist is the emerging ability to fund growth through operating efficiency and strategic partnerships—the kind that could turn a quarterly earnings beat into a durable, sector‑moving narrative.