BLZE

BACKBLAZE INC

Technology | Micro Cap

-$0.11

EPS Forecast

$37.97

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-07-20

Backblaze Q1 2026: AI Demand Buoys Revenue Growth as GAAP Loss Persists

Ticker: BLZE. In its first-quarter 2026 release, Backblaze reports EPS (GAAP) of −$0.10 and non‑GAAP EPS of $0.04, with revenue of $38.7 million and a 24% rise in the B2 Cloud Storage segment. The numbers press the case that this is a company where the “AI era” storyline may be more than marketing—it's reflecting a tangible mix shift in its revenue.

Financial Highlights at a Glance

  • Revenue: $38.7 million, up 12% year over year.
  • B2 Cloud Storage revenue: $22.4 million, up 24% YoY.
  • Computer Backup revenue: $16.2 million, roughly flat YoY.
  • Gross profit: $23.5 million, 61% of revenue (vs 56% in Q1 2025).
  • Adjusted gross profit: $30.7 million, 79% of revenue (unchanged vs prior-year mix).
  • Net loss: $6.1 million, vs $9.3 million in Q1 2025.
  • Net loss per share: $0.10 (GAAP) vs $0.17 prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $10.1 million, 26% of revenue (vs 18% in Q1 2025).
  • Non-GAAP net income: $2.7 million, vs non-GAAP net loss of $1.8 million in Q1 2025.
  • Non-GAAP net income per share: $0.04, vs a non-GAAP loss per share of $0.03 in Q1 2025.
  • Cash flow from operations: $3.4 million, down from $4.9 million in Q1 2025.
  • Adjusted free cash flow: $(1.8) million, vs $(2.1) million in Q1 2025.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities: $45.5 million as of March 31, 2026.

Management notes they exceeded the top end of their revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance for the quarter, a neat little earnings surprise against their own numbers. It’s a reminder that when you’re growing faster than you sputter, even a GAAP loss can feel like a win if the trajectory points up and to the right.

What’s Driving the Numbers

At the core, the B2 Cloud Storage business is the engine. A 24% YoY rise in B2 revenue signals meaningful demand for scalable, cost‑efficient storage in the AI era. The broader Backblaze story remains anchored in a simple, durable model: high gross margins on software and storage infrastructure, with a pivot toward AI-ready workloads as customers push for faster, larger data sets for training and inference.

On the mix, the Computer Backup line remains flat, underscoring that the growth levers aren’t coming from legacy offerings alone but from new customers and use cases—namely AI-related data handling. The company also highlighted AI wins—the acquisition of an AI training data company and a generative AI video creation provider—jointly contributing about $1.5 million in annual contract value. That anecdote isn’t just color; it hints at a future revenue cadence shaped by AI partnerships and a more multiclient, multiyber data footprint.

Margins, Profitability, and the Cash Beat

Gross margin moved higher to 61% of revenue, a meaningful step up from 56% a year ago. Adjusted gross margin sits comfortably at 79% of revenue, pointing to a business that can scale with limited drag from cost of goods sold as volumes grow.

On the profit line, GAAP net losses persist, but the company is translating some of the top-line strength into EBITDA expansion—Adjusted EBITDA at 26% of revenue is a bright spot versus 18% a year earlier. Non‑GAAP net income of $2.7 million and per‑share metrics of $0.04 suggest the core business is moving toward cash-flow-friendly profitability, even as reported net income remains negative.

Operating cash flow of $3.4 million and an adjusted free cash flow of $(1.8) million indicate that the company is managing working capital and investments in a way that doesn’t completely derail liquidity, though the negative free-cash-flow line remains a point to watch as growth investments continue.

AI Strategy and Customer Trajectory

The AI narrative sits at the intersection of product capability and go-to-market velocity. Backblaze reports a 76% YoY increase in AI customers, hinting at a wave of activity around data storage for model training and AI-enabled workflows. The company frames AI as a demand driver for its storage platform—open, performant, and cost-efficient at scale—an appealing combination for AI teams wrestling with data gravity and budget constraints.

Even with a modest annual contract value from specific AI wins, the broader trajectory matters. If AI workloads continue to scale, Backblaze could see a compounding effect: higher storage utilization, longer customer lifecycles, and incremental opportunities from adjacent data management services.

Outlook, Guidance, and Sector Implications

While the release foregrounds a quarter that beat the company’s own guidance on revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, there isn’t a fresh, publicly disclosed revenue forecast beyond that. The enthusiasm centers on the AI traction and margin resilience—an important distinction for investors who prize predictable free cash flow along with top-line growth.

From an analyst-consensus lens, the juxtaposition of GAAP losses with a nimbler non-GAAP profit profile and positive EBITDA could position BLZE as a proxy for storage tech players riding AI-enabled demand. The key will be whether the current trajectory translates into meaningful quarterly EPS momentum, whether operating cash flow remains a steady thread, and how the company funds further AI-related investments without pressuring liquidity.

Risks and Sector-Specific Considerations

GAAP profitability remains a hurdle, even as non-GAAP results look healthier and EBITDA margins improve. The quarter’s free cash flow pressure suggests ongoing questions about long-term cash generation versus investment in growth. For peers in the cloud storage and data management space, the takeaway is clear: disciplined capital allocation and a credible path to free cash flow matter as AI-driven demand becomes a more central narrative rather than a side plot.

Bottom Line: An AI Storage Play That Is Still Writing Its Balance Sheet

Backblaze’s Q1 2026 results reinforce a thesis: AI-era storage demand is real, margins are recovering, and non-GAAP profitability is edging closer to GAAP realities. The company’s BLZE ticker now carries a narrative: revenue growth is broadening beyond legacy services, margins are compressing less than they were, and AI-related wins are not just headlines but early revenue signals. If the AI customer curve continues to steepen and the company can sustain EBITDA gains while tightening cash burn, this could become a more convincing earnings narrative for shareholders and a benchmark for peers navigating the AI storage sprint.

Note: This summary references the Q1 2026 financial release from Backblaze, Inc. (Nasdaq: BLZE). Figures are reported per the company’s press release, including GAAP and non-GAAP measures, and reflect the quarter ended March 31, 2026.