AVY

AVERY DENNISON CORP

Consumer Cyclical | Large Cap

$2.41

EPS Forecast

$2,341

Revenue Forecast

The company already released most recent quarter's earnings. We will publish our AI's next quarter's forecast around 2026-12-31

Avery Dennison’s Q3 2026: A Sticky, Steady Performance in an Inflationary Labyrinth

Ticker: AVY. Earnings metrics you’ll care about include EPS, revenue forecast, and the fraught topic of earnings surprise versus EPS consensus. The excerpt below parses a third-quarter print that keeps the company on a predictable path while signaling how rivals might respond to a mix of price, volume, and cash-generation discipline.

Key numbers at a glance

  • 3Q26 Net sales: $2.3 billion, up 5.2% year over year
  • 3Q26 Reported EPS: $2.24
  • 3Q26 Adjusted (non-GAAP) EPS: $2.42, up 2.1%
  • Non-GAAP measures reconciled to GAAP in attached schedules
  • 3Q26 Materials Group sales: up 8.5% to $1.6 billion
  • ex-currency sales for Materials Group: +6.7%
  • Organic sales for Materials Group: +4.9%
  • Materials Group operating margin: 13.7%
  • FY26 EPS guidance (Reported): $9.45–$9.59
  • FY26 EPS guidance (Adjusted): $10.10–$10.24

The release notes that non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled from GAAP in the attached schedules, a reminder this is an income statement with two flavors: cash-flow-friendly and traditional accounting flavor.

Segment spotlight: Materials Group proves the core still hums

  • Reported sales increased 8.5% to $1.6 billion
  • Sales up 6.7% excluding currency
  • Sales up 4.9% on an organic basis
  • High-value categories up mid-single digits; base categories up mid-single digits
  • Volume/mix growth in low single digits with mid-single-digit price benefits
  • Reported operating margin of 13.7%

All told, the packaging-and-labeling stack remains a steady producer of both volume and value, even as the business navigates commodity-cost pressures and inflationary currents that have become part of the quarterly soundtrack.

What the leadership says

“We delivered another quarter of strong results, highlighted by continued improvement in our underlying organic sales and earnings growth,” said Deon Stander, Avery Dennison’s president and CEO. The remarks emphasize innovation, service-led differentiation, productivity, and robust free cash flow—signals that the company believes will help it withstand inflation and customer destocking pressures.

Guidance and what it portends

The company reiterated FY26 guidance: Reported EPS guidance of $9.45 to $9.59 and Adjusted EPS guidance of $10.10 to $10.24. The emphasis on EPS guidance—rather than a broader revenue forecast—suggests management is prioritizing earnings discipline and cash generation as it navigates a volatile macro backdrop.

In terms of market expectations, the release does not publish an explicit EPS consensus figure or an explicit earnings surprise metric. That omission leaves analysts to triangulate expectations from the reported numbers and the reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP, rather than a clean headline beat or miss. Still, the trajectory—EPS growth on both reported and adjusted bases, plus a solid revenue level—may shape how investors view the company’s ability to sustain margin and cash flow in 2027.

What this could mean for Avery’s sector peers

AVY’s Q3 print underscores resilience in a materials science and digital identification ecosystem that has to balance pricing, volume, and currency effects. The Materials Group’s margins and organic growth hint at a business model that can weather inflation and destocking cycles, at least in the near term. Sector peers may read this as a cue to emphasize:

  • Pricing power and mix optimization to support margins
  • Operational productivity and cash conversion to buffer macro noise
  • Non-GAAP disclosures and transparent reconciliations to GAAP to build investor trust
  • Growth in high-value categories and end-market diversification through labeling-tech and identification solutions

In a market where revenue forecasts might be cloudy, the ability to deliver steady EPS and a credible path to free cash flow often matters more than a single quarter’s headline volatility. The cautionary note remains: the macro backdrop—inflation, customer destocking, and currency swings—will keep the balance sheet and earnings reports honest.

Disclosure notes and concluding thoughts

The press release reiterates that non-GAAP metrics are reconciled to GAAP figures in attached schedules, a reminder that investors looking for apples-to-apples comparisons should study the footnotes. The 3Q26 date and place—Mentor, Ohio, October 29, 2026—anchor the release in a specific corporate narrative about a company that markets itself as a global materials science and digital ID solutions leader.

Bottom line: Avery Dennison’s third quarter shows a company delivering cash-generating growth with disciplined guidance for the following year. The real question for AVY and its peers is whether this performance persists as currency and inflation swing, or if management can turn the earnings expansion into a durable revenue trajectory—one that translates into an actual revenue forecast for 2027 and beyond.

Filed as EX-99.1; referenced date: October 29, 2026. For investors tracking AVY, EPS, earnings surprise dynamics, and revenue trajectory, this report reinforces a narrative of steady progress rather than a dramatic re-rating—an outcome that, in the odd cadence of markets, can be just as valuable as a blockbuster beat.